Silver Nate: Signal i šum

Name: Signal i šum
Price: 24.00 EUR
Availability: InStock
Author: Silver Nate

€ 24,00

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Basic information

Author: Silver Nate
Publisher: MATE d.o.o.
Availability: Available
Condition: Odlično
Code: 65807

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Description

Signal i šum

Silver Nate

Summary

Nate Silver: Signal and Noise

"The original revolution in information technology came not with microchips but with the printing press. Johannes Gutenberg's invention in 1440 made information available to the masses, and the explosion of ideas it produced had unintended consequences and unpredictable effects..."

Chapters one, two and three consider the failures of predictions related to the recent financial crisis, baseball successes, and the world of political predictions - where some approaches have worked well while others have not. These three chapters should prompt us to think about some of the fundamental issues of the forecasting problem. How can we apply our own judgment to the data—without succumbing to our own biases?

Chapters four through seven focus on dynamical systems: the behavior of the Earth's atmosphere, which brings us our weather; the movement of its tectonic plates, which can cause earthquakes; complex human interaction; and the spread of infectious diseases. These systems are explored by some of our best scientists.

Chapters eight, nine, and ten deal with solutions—first, by introducing us to a sports bettor who uses Bayes' Theorem more expertly than many economists or scientists, and then by considering two other games, chess and poker. Because they have strictly defined rules, sports and games are good laboratories for testing our prediction skills.

#Silver Nate